2026 map is as favorable to GOP as 2018 map after redistricting: Sabato
A Monday analysis from Sabato warned of a possible repeat of this, with several polling metrics showing a situation equal to 2018, or even slightly more favorable toward Democrats than 2018. But the factors do signal a likely Democratic victory.“If Democrats could win the House on the 2018 map, they can win it on this one, too,” it concluded.Sabato’s Crystal Ball isn’t alone in sounding the alarm for Republicans. These voters are concentrated in Iowa, Ohio, North Carolina, Montana, New Hampshire, and Michigan.
- ▪A Monday analysis from Sabato warned of a possible repeat of this, with several polling metrics showing a situation equal to 2018, or even slightly more favorable toward Democrats than 2018.
- ▪But the factors do signal a likely Democratic victory.“If Democrats could win the House on the 2018 map, they can win it on this one, too,” it concluded.Sabato’s Crystal Ball isn’t alone in sounding the alarm for Republicans.
- ▪These voters are concentrated in Iowa, Ohio, North Carolina, Montana, New Hampshire, and Michigan.
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| Canonical URL | https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/4663976/2026-map-favorable-gop-2018-map-redistricting-sabato/ |
| Publication time | Mon, 27 Jul 2026 13:33:23 +0000 |
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Opening excerpt (first ~120 words) tap to expand
With low enthusiasm among Republicans, the 2026 midterm election map is looking worrisome for Republicans even after favorable redistricting, with Sabato’s Crystal Ball election tracking putting the current odds at 2018 levels.President Donald Trump’s last midterm elections were in 2018, when Republicans suffered blistering losses that cost them the government trifecta, losing the House to the Democrats. A Monday analysis from Sabato warned of a possible repeat of this, with several polling metrics showing a situation equal to 2018, or even slightly more favorable toward Democrats than 2018.
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