A weak monsoon looms as MeT dept lowers its forecast
The India Meteorological Department has revised its monsoon rainfall forecast downward, predicting a 90% chance of below-normal rainfall this season. El Niño conditions are expected to develop earlier and more intensely than previously thought, which could exacerbate the situation. This year's forecast indicates that India may experience its lowest monsoon rainfall in 11 years, raising concerns about agricultural impacts and water availability.
- ▪The IMD has lowered its seasonal rainfall forecast from 92% to 90% of the long-period average.
- ▪There is a 60% probability of a deficient monsoon season, indicating a significant chance of below-normal rainfall.
- ▪El Niño is expected to evolve into moderate conditions during the monsoon season, impacting rainfall distribution.
Opening excerpt (first ~120 words) tap to expand
A weak monsoon looms as MeT dept lowers its forecastThe agency added that El Niño conditions were likely to evolve into moderate category through the monsoon season, and strong category post-monsoon.Published on: May 30, 2026 6:09 AM ISTBy Jayashree NandiShare viaCopy link New Delhi : The India Meteorological Department (IMD) on Friday revised its seasonal rainfall forecast downward — from 92% of the long-period average issued in April to 90% — and attached a 60% probability to a deficient season, meaning there is a better-than-even chance that total rainfall falls below the threshold that even qualifies as below-normal.The LPA for the June-to-September season, calculated over the 1971–2020 period, is 87cm – if the prediction bears out, this would mark the lowest monsoon season rainfall…
Excerpt limited to ~120 words for fair-use compliance. The full article is at Hindustan Times — Top.
Discussion
0 commentsMore from Hindustan Times — Top
