An AI pause would be a disaster. Ozone and nuclear arms control show us why
For simplicity and familiarity I’ll call this the pause camp, although their exact proposals range from a full stop to throttling the pace of AI capability improvement. The most serious answer so far is Plan A, one branch of the choose-your-own-adventure webpage AI 2040 created by the team responsible for the apocalyptic pause manifesto AI 2027. Plan A calls for a US–China deal that, in their scenario, delays superintelligence from 2030 to 2040.
- ▪For simplicity and familiarity I’ll call this the pause camp, although their exact proposals range from a full stop to throttling the pace of AI capability improvement.
- ▪The most serious answer so far is Plan A, one branch of the choose-your-own-adventure webpage AI 2040 created by the team responsible for the apocalyptic pause manifesto AI 2027.
- ▪Plan A calls for a US–China deal that, in their scenario, delays superintelligence from 2030 to 2040.
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| Original publisher | Hacker News (AI / LLM) |
| Canonical URL | https://shearerp.substack.com/p/an-ai-pause-would-be-a-disaster-ozone |
| Publication time | Tue, 29 Sep 2026 12:58:30 +0000 |
| Retrieval time | 2026-09-29T13:06:21.922Z |
| Last seen | 2026-09-29T13:06:21.922Z |
| Headline source | Publisher (no WeSearch rewrite) |
| Excerpt source | publisher body |
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| Summary | WeSearch · cerebras-chat (WeSearch summarizer) |
| Summary source text | contentText |
| Citation coverage | Summary is a WeSearch-generated derivative; primary citation is the original publisher URL. |
| Cluster | 4AtQRaUmP6pr · 1 stories |
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| Ranking reason | Story pages are not engagement-ranked. Hub feeds use recency, with optional source-diversified chronological ordering (cap consecutive stories per source). No personalized ranking. |
| Publisher visit | Yes — open original |
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| Snippet | May a short excerpt of the publisher's text be shown? | Allowed |
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| Retrieval / RAG | May the content be exposed for third-party retrieval-augmented generation? | Not asserted |
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| Commercial reuse | May the content be reused commercially? | Not permitted |
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Opening excerpt (first ~120 words) tap to expand
An AI pause would be a disaster. Ozone and nuclear arms control show us why.The reasons the Montreal Protocol and START worked are also the reasons an international AI regime would fail.Paul ShearerSep 29, 202643ShareA growing camp in AI policy holds that AI may be close to disempowering or destroying humanity, and that preventing this requires an international regime to halt or sharply slow frontier AI development. For simplicity and familiarity I’ll call this the pause camp, although their exact proposals range from a full stop to throttling the pace of AI capability improvement.
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