Bitcoin transaction volume surpasses Visa, Mastercard in 2025
Bitcoin's transaction volume exceeded that of Visa and Mastercard in 2025, driven primarily by institutional activity rather than retail use. Despite this milestone, short-term price expectations have declined, with the market probability of reaching $80,000 by April dropping sharply. Long-term sentiment remains stable, as traders view the shift in transaction volume as a positive structural development for Bitcoin's role in the financial system.
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Bitcoin’s transaction volume outpaced Visa and Mastercard in 2025. The odds of Bitcoin reaching $200,000 by December 31, 2026, are at 4.8% YES. The 2025 volume surge mainly reflects institutional transactions rather than retail use. Bitcoin’s volumes are largely wholesale and institutional, unlike Visa and Mastercard, which process consumer payments. The Bitcoin price target market for $80,000 in April has dropped sharply, now at 14.5% YES, down from 26% yesterday. The April market reflects skepticism about short-term retail-driven price spikes, with a 37-point drop to 14.5% YES. The long-term December 31 market for $200,000 holds steady at 4.8% YES. Traders appear to read the structural shift in transaction volume as a positive long-term signal while discounting near-term price action.
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Excerpt limited to ~120 words for fair-use compliance. The full article is at Crypto Briefing.
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