Deaths projected to outnumber births in UK every year from 2026
The UK is projected to see deaths outnumber births annually starting in 2026, according to the Office for National Statistics. Population growth is expected to slow significantly, with an increase of only 1.7 million people from 2024 to 2034, down from previous estimates. This trend is attributed to lower net migration and declining fertility rates.
- ▪Deaths are projected to outnumber births in the UK every year from 2026.
- ▪The population is expected to grow by only 1.7 million between 2024 and 2034, a decrease from earlier projections of 3 million.
- ▪Net migration is expected to be the sole driver of population growth in the coming decades.
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| Original publisher | the Guardian |
| Canonical URL | https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/apr/28/deaths-projected-to-outnumber-births-in-uk-every-year-from-2026 |
| Publication time | Tue, 28 Apr 2026 22:42:13 GMT |
| Retrieval time | 2026-04-28T22:57:01.031Z |
| Last seen | 2026-04-28T23:32:55.185Z |
| Headline source | Publisher (no WeSearch rewrite) |
| Excerpt source | publisher body |
| Excerpt method | First ~120 words (~800 chars) of extracted publisher body, fair-use limited. |
| Summary | WeSearch · cerebras-chat (WeSearch summarizer) |
| Summary source text | contentText |
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| Cluster | 53-Vg4t4k3Qy |
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| Ranking reason | Story pages are not engagement-ranked. Hub feeds use recency, with optional source-diversified chronological ordering (cap consecutive stories per source). No personalized ranking. |
| Publisher visit | Yes — open original |
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| Retrieval / RAG | May the content be exposed for third-party retrieval-augmented generation? | Not asserted |
| Model training | May the content be used to train AI models? | Not asserted |
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About 1.7 million people are projected to join the population between 2024 and 2034, less than the previous figure of 3 million. Photograph: kieferpix/Getty ImagesView image in fullscreenAbout 1.7 million people are projected to join the population between 2024 and 2034, less than the previous figure of 3 million. Photograph: kieferpix/Getty ImagesPopulationDeaths projected to outnumber births in UK every year from 2026Latest ONS figures also suggest lower population growth in coming decades than previously expectedNadeem BadshahTue 28 Apr 2026 18.42 EDTLast modified on Tue 28 Apr 2026 18.50 EDTSharePrefer the Guardian on GoogleDeaths are projected to outnumber births in the UK every year from 2026 and the population is expected to grow at a slower rate over the next few decades than…
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