Democrat Optimism in Six Senate Races May Be a Mirage—What the Polls Reveal
But history offers a warning to Democrats, as polls in recent elections underestimated Republicans in key states.Control of the Senate could come down to just a handful of races where polls show razor-thin margins. Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio and Texas have emerged as the most competitive races where both parties are hopeful about their chances.Recent polling points to tight races in each of those states. But Republicans have outperformed polling averages in many of those same states over the past few elections.
- ▪But history offers a warning to Democrats, as polls in recent elections underestimated Republicans in key states.Control of the Senate could come down to just a handful of races where polls show razor-thin margins.
- ▪Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio and Texas have emerged as the most competitive races where both parties are hopeful about their chances.Recent polling points to tight races in each of those states.
- ▪But Republicans have outperformed polling averages in many of those same states over the past few elections.
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| Original publisher | Newsweek |
| Canonical URL | https://www.newsweek.com/democrat-optimism-in-six-senate-races-may-be-a-mirage-what-the-polls-reveal-12512862 |
| Publication time | Thu, 01 Oct 2026 14:49:49 -0400 |
| Retrieval time | 2026-10-01T18:58:09.553Z |
| Last seen | 2026-10-01T18:58:09.553Z |
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Opening excerpt (first ~120 words) tap to expand
By Andrew StantonReporter0ShareNewsweek is a Trust Project memberSee more of our trusted coverage when you search.Prefer Newsweek on Googleto see more of our trusted coverage when you search.Democrats are optimistic about their chances of flipping the Senate in the midterm elections following a string of favorable polls. But history offers a warning to Democrats, as polls in recent elections underestimated Republicans in key states.Control of the Senate could come down to just a handful of races where polls show razor-thin margins. Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio and Texas have emerged as the most competitive races where both parties are hopeful about their chances.Recent polling points to tight races in each of those states.
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Excerpt limited to ~120 words for fair-use compliance. The full article is at Newsweek.
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