Four Time Scales for Technology Development and Deployment
August 1, 2026 — Quick Takes Four Time Scales for Technology Development and Deployment rodneybrooks.com/four-time-scales-for-technology-development-and-deployment/ I have come to understand four very different time scales for development of technologies and their deployments. And I think people often jump between them and end up making outrageously wrong, and sometimes damaging, predictions of when in the future a technology is going to be able to do what. New Research Ideas New research ideas take ten to twenty years to form before there is an understanding to bring them to really solid lab demonstrations.
- ▪August 1, 2026 — Quick Takes Four Time Scales for Technology Development and Deployment rodneybrooks.com/four-time-scales-for-technology-development-and-deployment/ I have come to understand four very different time scales for development o
- ▪And I think people often jump between them and end up making outrageously wrong, and sometimes damaging, predictions of when in the future a technology is going to be able to do what.
- ▪New Research Ideas New research ideas take ten to twenty years to form before there is an understanding to bring them to really solid lab demonstrations.
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| Original publisher | Rodneybrooks |
| Canonical URL | https://rodneybrooks.com/four-time-scales-for-technology-development-and-deployment/ |
| Publication time | Sun, 02 Aug 2026 02:26:52 +0000 |
| Retrieval time | 2026-08-02T03:00:48.419Z |
| Last seen | 2026-08-02T03:00:48.419Z |
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| Cluster | 4bDkE8_HNj4k · 1 stories |
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| Ranking reason | Story pages are not engagement-ranked. Hub feeds use recency, with optional source-diversified chronological ordering (cap consecutive stories per source). No personalized ranking. |
| Publisher visit | Yes — open original |
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| Commercial reuse | May the content be reused commercially? | Not permitted |
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August 1, 2026 — Quick Takes Four Time Scales for Technology Development and Deployment rodneybrooks.com/four-time-scales-for-technology-development-and-deployment/ I have come to understand four very different time scales for development of technologies and their deployments. And I think people often jump between them and end up making outrageously wrong, and sometimes damaging, predictions of when in the future a technology is going to be able to do what. Time scale 1. New Research Ideas New research ideas take ten to twenty years to form before there is an understanding to bring them to really solid lab demonstrations. Some things take much longer as there are many, many false starts, or there is a really hard step which takes decades to crack.
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Excerpt limited to ~120 words for fair-use compliance. The full article is at Rodneybrooks.