From 10% chance of success to $2 trillion market cap: SpaceX's historic IPO

Skeptics of SpaceX's lofty valuation questioned the logic of it all. The company counts on its Starlink satellite internet service for the bulk of its revenue and it's the only profitable part of the business. But investors don't pay historically high multiples for broadband service, no matter how good it is. The space launch division is burning cash and is counting on the Starship rocket to scale to much better economics than the Falcon fleet. And the AI unit, which came in through the acquisition of Musk's xAI, is currently a money pit that's pivoted to leasing out massive amounts of capacity to the likes of Anthropic and Google. Financial research firm CFRA gave SpaceX a sell rating and price target of $115, minutes after the company's Nasdaq debut.

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