IMD downgrades monsoon forecast to below normal, warns of hotter June: Here’s why
The India Meteorological Department (IMD) has downgraded its monsoon forecast, predicting below-normal rainfall for the upcoming season. The forecast indicates a 60% chance of a deficient monsoon, which could significantly impact agriculture and water resources. Factors such as developing El Nino conditions and current weather patterns are contributing to the expected dry conditions.
- ▪IMD predicts monsoon rainfall to be below normal at 90% of the long period average (LPA).
- ▪There is a 60% probability of a deficient monsoon and a 24% probability of a below normal monsoon.
- ▪The southwest monsoon's seasonal rainfall is likely to be below normal over most of the country, impacting agriculture and water availability.
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IMD downgrades monsoon forecast to below normal, warns of hotter June: Here’s whyIMD’s extended range forecast now shows largely dry conditions over Kerala between May 28 and June 4, with only marginal improvement expected between June 4 and June 11.Published on: May 29, 2026 11:57 AM ISTBy Jayashree NandiShare viaCopy link Monsoon rainfall over the country is likely to be below normal at 90% of the long period average (LPA), with a model error of ±4%, the India Meteorological Department (IMD) said on Friday, lowering its earlier forecast of 92% of the LPA issued in April.A man splashes water on his face to beat the heat on a hot summer day in Jammu.
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