Iran hardliners clash over US nuclear talks as deal hopes fade
Iranian hardliners are experiencing internal conflicts regarding the ongoing nuclear negotiations with the United States. As the deadline approaches, market confidence in reaching a deal has significantly declined, with current probabilities dropping to 0.5%. The situation indicates a potential for prolonged diplomatic standoffs due to structural disagreements within Iran's political factions.
- ▪The market probability for a US-Iran nuclear deal has fallen to 0.5%, down from 2% the previous day.
- ▪Trading volume related to the negotiations is low, with only $950 in actual USDC exchanged.
- ▪Internal factional conflicts in Iran may hinder progress in negotiations, extending the diplomatic standoff.
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Iran hardliners clash over US nuclear talks as deal hopes fade US-Iran Diplomatic Meeting Locations Share Add us on Google by Estefano Gomez Apr. 28, 2026 Iranian hardliners are fighting over US nuclear negotiations, and the US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30 market has dropped to 0.5% YES, down from 2% yesterday. Market reaction The deal market sits at 0.5% YES, down from 29% a week ago. The diplomatic meeting location market prices no meeting by June 30 at 16.4% YES, with traders betting on delays and disruptions.
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