Iran internet blackout hits 60 days, deepens economic disruption

Iran’s internet shutdown has reached 60 days, compounding economic and social disruption. The market for the Iranian regime falling by June 30 sits at 7.5% YES, slightly down from 8% a day ago. The blackout, part of the US-Israel-Iran conflict, points to deepening instability. Trader sentiment has barely moved, with odds for regime fall by June 30 holding steady over the past week. Iran’s digital isolation and daily economic losses between $30 million and $80 million have not shifted the prediction market. The market has $127,150 in face value traded over the last 24 hours, with actual USDC volume at $11,723. The order book requires $220,844 to move the odds by 5 percentage points, a relatively thick market.

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