Jeff Raikes: The talent debt I warned about is now showing up in the data

In April, I warned in these pages that companies letting AI absorb entry-level work were quietly accumulating a talent debt they didn’t yet see. Since then, new evidence is putting the problem in plainer sight.Recommended Video Microsoft’s 2026 Work Trend Index surveyed 20,000 workers across ten countries and found that the most valuable human skills in an AI workplace aren’t technical. They’re the ability to think critically and judge AI’s outputs. Only 16 percent of workers have developed the judgment to move fluidly between directing AI and doing the work themselves. Microsoft calls them “Frontier Professionals.” The detail that stuck with me is that those workers deliberately do some tasks without AI, specifically to keep their own thinking sharp. They are onto something.

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