Kalshi’s AI Compute Price Tracker Reportedly Pulled Over National Security Concerns
The U.S. Commerce Department reportedly ordered prediction market platform Kalshi to remove its AI compute price tracker due to national security concerns. Kalshi complied with the request to take down the forward curves, although the underlying tradable markets for GPU rental prices remain active. The Commerce Department has publicly denied issuing such an order, stating that it has never asked Kalshi to remove any markets.
- ▪Kalshi launched non-tradable forward curves in July to benchmark future prices for Nvidia B200, H200, and A100 chips.
- ▪Commerce officials cited national security concerns, including the potential for market manipulation to affect AI stocks, as the reason for the takedown.
- ▪The CFTC opened a 60-day public comment period on compute derivatives while also facing pressure to freeze approval of new contracts.
- ▪Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour described compute as the new oil, arguing that a derivatives market is necessary for managing risk in the AI industry.
- ▪A Commerce Department spokesperson told Semafor that the report was false and that the agency never requested the removal of Kalshi's markets.
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| Publication time | Tue, 15 Sep 2026 20:30:54 +0000 |
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The Trump administration reportedly shut down part of Kalshi’s effort to establish a futures market for AI compute. Citing people familiar with the matter, Semafor reported on Tuesday that the U.S. Commerce Department ordered Kalshi last month to take down a product tracking the future price of AI compute.cnx.cmd.push(function(){cnx({"playerId":"92b7b46b-43ed-4e0e-b21b-2c999302d9d7","settings":{"advertising":{"macros":{"AD_UNIT":"/23178111854/od.gizmodo.com/article","CHILD_UNIT":"article","POST_ID":"2000812005","POST_TYPE":"post","CHANNEL":"tech","SECTION":"artificial-intelligence","SUBSECTION":"","CATEGORIES":"artificial-intelligence","TAGS":"ai,kalshi,prediction-markets","NOP":"0"},"timeBeforeFirstAd":0}}}).render("cnx-player-main")}); According to Semafor, Commerce officials cited…
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