Labour likely to be biggest party in hung parliament, mega poll suggests – UK politics live
Andy Burnham and Kemi Badenoch are both preparing for their party conferences (next week, and the following week, respectively), and this morning YouGov has released a new MRP poll with encouraging news for both of them. Polling is very good at revealing electoral trends, but a lot less good at predicting electoral outcomes, and wise politicians don’t treat them as gospel. But they also find polling impossible to ignore, not least because it shapes the landscape within which parties operate.
- ▪Andy Burnham and Kemi Badenoch are both preparing for their party conferences (next week, and the following week, respectively), and this morning YouGov has released a new MRP poll with encouraging news for both of them.
- ▪Polling is very good at revealing electoral trends, but a lot less good at predicting electoral outcomes, and wise politicians don’t treat them as gospel.
- ▪But they also find polling impossible to ignore, not least because it shapes the landscape within which parties operate.
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| Original publisher | The Guardian — UK |
| Canonical URL | https://www.theguardian.com/politics/live/2026/sep/24/labour-reform-conservatives-yougov-mrp-poll-burnham-badenoch-farage-blair-brexit-latest-news-updates |
| Publication time | Thu, 24 Sep 2026 07:59:50 GMT |
| Retrieval time | 2026-09-24T08:10:14.461Z |
| Last seen | 2026-09-24T08:10:14.461Z |
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10m ago03.59 EDTGood morning. Andy Burnham and Kemi Badenoch are both preparing for their party conferences (next week, and the following week, respectively), and this morning YouGov has released a new MRP poll with encouraging news for both of them. Polling is very good at revealing electoral trends, but a lot less good at predicting electoral outcomes, and wise politicians don’t treat them as gospel. But they also find polling impossible to ignore, not least because it shapes the landscape within which parties operate. A leader expecting to win the next election acts differently from one expecting to lose it.And would Burnham win an election held now? Not exactly, according to the YouGov figures, but Labour would be the largest party. Here is YouGov’s summary of its results.
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