Lula Regains His Lead in a Brazil Race Investors Are Watching
A new poll shows Lula regaining a lead over Flavio Bolsonaro before the Brazil election in October, a swing investors track as the contest stays open.
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Brazil Politics and Society Lula Regains His Lead in a Brazil Race Investors Are Watching By Arkady Petrov · June 10, 2026 · 5 min read Daily Brief The morning intel from across Latin America. Free. Subscribe By subscribing you agree to our privacy policy. We never share your email. Brazil · Politics Key Facts —Latest poll. A new Quaest survey puts President Lula ahead of Senator Flavio Bolsonaro by 44% to 38% in a second-round matchup. —The swing. Lula’s edge had shrunk to nothing through the spring, and Flavio briefly led in April. —Who they are. Lula is Brazil’s veteran leftist president; Flavio is the eldest son of jailed ex-president Jair Bolsonaro. —The calendar. Brazil votes on October 4, with a runoff on October 25 if no one wins outright. —Market angle.
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