Massie Has 99% Chance Of Losing Primary Race, Betting Odds Show
Rep. Thomas Massie lost his primary race after initially being favored to win. Betting odds shifted dramatically in favor of his opponent, Ed Gallrein, shortly after polls closed. Massie's odds had been significantly higher just days before the election, highlighting a surprising turn in the race.
- ▪Ed Gallrein had 99.5% odds of winning shortly after polls closed.
- ▪Massie's odds were above 40% immediately after polls closed, but shifted quickly.
- ▪Massie was considered the favorite to win the primary just two weeks prior to the election.
2 outlets in our directory ran this story. All of the coverage we found sits in one bucket: right. That one-sidedness is itself worth noticing.
- ▪ BREAKING: Thomas Massie Loses His Primary Race — PJ Media
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| Original publisher | Forbes — Business |
| Canonical URL | https://www.forbes.com/sites/antoniopequenoiv/2026/05/19/massie-has-99-chance-of-losing-primary-race-betting-odds-show/ |
| Publication time | Tue, 19 May 2026 19:45:55 -0400 |
| Retrieval time | 2026-05-20T00:14:58.653Z |
| Last seen | 2026-05-20T00:14:58.653Z |
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| Cluster | RtHCBFVkpszn · 3 stories |
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Opening excerpt (first ~120 words) tap to expand
BreakingBusinessMassie Loses Primary Race After Betting Odds Favored Him For WeeksByAntonio Pequeño IV,Forbes Staff. Pequeño is a breaking news reporter who covers tech and more.Follow AuthorMay 19, 2026, 08:13pm EDTToplineElection betting odds sharply swung away from Rep. Thomas Massie, R-Ky., not long after polls closed for his congressional district’s primary Tuesday, marking a massive reversal for the incumbent who lost the race after being favored for much of the campaign to win it over Trump-backed former Navy Seal Ed Gallrein.Massie is one of the GOP's most outspoken critics of President Donald Trump. (Photo by Heather Diehl/Getty Images)Key FactsGallrein had 99.5% odds, Kalshi showed shortly after 7:45 p.m.
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