Monsoon is coming early, but that doesn't mean it will rain enough. El Nino is to blame | Explained
The southwest monsoon is expected to arrive in Kerala six days earlier than usual, on May 26. However, the India Meteorological Department has forecasted below-normal rainfall for the June-September period due to the influence of El Nino. Experts warn that an early onset does not guarantee sufficient rainfall, as past El Nino events have led to drought conditions in India.
- ▪The southwest monsoon is set to hit Kerala on May 26, six days earlier than the usual date.
- ▪The India Meteorological Department predicts below-normal rainfall for the June-September season, estimating 92% of the long-period average.
- ▪El Nino is expected to suppress moisture-laden winds, potentially leading to deficient rains in India.
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| Publication time | Sat, 16 May 2026 15:41:52 +0530 |
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Monsoon is coming early, but that doesn't mean it will rain enough. El Nino is to blame | ExplainedThe weather department's first-stage long-range forecast for this year has already predicted below-normal rainfall for the June–September period.Updated on: May 16, 2026 3:42 PM ISTBy Arya MishraShare viaCopy link The southwest monsoon is set to hit Kerala six days earlier than the usual June 1 date. The India Meteorological Department has pegged the onset of the monsoon on May 26.Experts say that an early onset does no guarantee protection against a weak monsoon season. (Representational)According to the weather department, conditions are favourable for the monsoon to advance over parts of the south Bay of Bengal, the Andaman Sea, and the Andaman and Nicobar Islands within 24 hours.
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