New Analysis Shows Democrats Face Brutal House Math After Redistricting
New Analysis Shows Democrats Face Brutal House Math After Redistricting By Ben Smith | 9:48 AM on July 30, 2026 The opinions expressed by contributors are their own and do not necessarily represent the views of RedState.com. Scott Applewhite Democrats have spent months counting on the historical midterm pattern to hand them the House. Literally.Trump's mid-decade redistricting campaign moved the decisive center of the House map to the right.
- ▪New Analysis Shows Democrats Face Brutal House Math After Redistricting By Ben Smith | 9:48 AM on July 30, 2026 The opinions expressed by contributors are their own and do not necessarily represent the views of RedState.com.
- ▪Scott Applewhite Democrats have spent months counting on the historical midterm pattern to hand them the House.
- ▪Literally.Trump's mid-decade redistricting campaign moved the decisive center of the House map to the right.
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| Canonical URL | https://redstate.com/ben-smith/2026/07/30/new-analysis-shows-democrats-face-brutal-house-math-after-redistricting-n2204949 |
| Publication time | Thu, 30 Jul 2026 09:48:01 -0400 |
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Opening excerpt (first ~120 words) tap to expand
New Analysis Shows Democrats Face Brutal House Math After Redistricting By Ben Smith | 9:48 AM on July 30, 2026 The opinions expressed by contributors are their own and do not necessarily represent the views of RedState.com. AP Photo/J. Scott Applewhite Democrats have spent months counting on the historical midterm pattern to hand them the House. Trump just rewrote the math. Literally.Trump's mid-decade redistricting campaign moved the decisive center of the House map to the right. According to Cook Political Report's updated Partisan Voting Index (PVI), the median congressional district now scores R+3, two points more Republican than it was before the maps were redrawn.
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Excerpt limited to ~120 words for fair-use compliance. The full article is at RedState.