New data reveals 100% chance of strong ‘Super’ El Nino forming this year
A strong 'Super' El Niño is predicted to form this year with a 100% chance, according to new data from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts. This phenomenon could lead to wetter conditions in the southern U.S. and suppress hurricane activity in the Atlantic. However, the forecast still anticipates a near-normal number of storms and hurricanes for the season.
- ▪The ECMWF's May forecast indicates a strong El Niño could develop by November.
- ▪Typically, a strong El Niño results in decreased hurricane activity in the Atlantic.
- ▪The forecast predicts 13 named storms and 6 hurricanes this season, close to the seasonal average.
2 outlets in our directory ran this story, first to last over 19 hours. All of the coverage we found sits in one bucket: centre. That one-sidedness is itself worth noticing.
- ▪ Super El Nino event this year? — r/investing
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| Original publisher | New York Post |
| Canonical URL | https://nypost.com/2026/05/18/us-news/new-data-reveals-100-chance-of-strong-super-el-nino-forming-this-year/ |
| Publication time | Mon, 18 May 2026 07:11:35 -0400 |
| Retrieval time | 2026-05-18T11:14:56.450Z |
| Last seen | 2026-05-18T11:27:21.022Z |
| Headline source | Publisher (no WeSearch rewrite) |
| Excerpt source | publisher body |
| Excerpt method | First ~120 words (~800 chars) of extracted publisher body, fair-use limited. |
| Summary | WeSearch · cerebras-chat (WeSearch summarizer) |
| Summary source text | contentText |
| Citation coverage | Summary is a WeSearch-generated derivative; primary citation is the original publisher URL. |
| Cluster | iAtVX2Fqy4VL · 2 stories |
| Cluster logic | Grouped by semantic title/content similarity across sources within a rolling window. Same-publisher template collisions are excluded from coverage comparison. |
| Ranking reason | Story pages are not engagement-ranked. Hub feeds use recency, with optional source-diversified chronological ordering (cap consecutive stories per source). No personalized ranking. |
| Publisher visit | Yes — open original |
| Substitutes article? | No — link-out required for full text |
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| Indexing | May the item be indexed (stored, ranked, made findable)? | Allowed |
| Snippet | May a short excerpt of the publisher's text be shown? | Allowed |
| AI summary | May WeSearch generate its own short summary of the article? | Limited |
| Retrieval / RAG | May the content be exposed for third-party retrieval-augmented generation? | Not asserted |
| Model training | May the content be used to train AI models? | Not asserted |
| Commercial reuse | May the content be reused commercially? | Not permitted |
Basis: Derived from the published RSS/Atom feed. Contact: [email protected]. Reviewed: 2026-07-24.
Opening excerpt (first ~120 words) tap to expand
US News New data reveals 100% chance of strong ‘Super’ El Nino forming this year By FOX Weather Published May 18, 2026, 7:11 a.m. ET See more of our coverage in your search results. Add The New York Post on Google Originally Published by: Rare Level 4 out of 5 threat issued ahead of major severe weather outbreak stretching 1,000 miles Dangerous severe weather outbreak with monster hail and strong tornadoes targets a dozen states The latest long-range European forecast shows there’s a 100% chance of a super El Niño, potentially suppressing hurricane activity and making for a wetter fall and winter in the southern U.S.
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