PGF Vs. TLT: Market Anomaly In Credit Spreads - Historical Divergence Pair Trading Strategy
The article discusses the historical divergence in credit spreads between the Invesco Financial Preferred ETF (PGF) and the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT). It highlights that PGF is currently trading at a narrower spread than usual, indicating potential overvaluation. The author suggests a pair trading strategy that involves going long on TLT, which offers a higher yield with no credit risk.
- ▪Invesco Financial Preferred ETF trades at a historically narrow 1.59% spread over iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF.
- ▪The typical spread is around 2.5%, suggesting PGF may be overvalued.
- ▪PGF's portfolio is concentrated in BBB-rated bank preferreds, which increases structural risks.
- ▪TLT offers a yield of 5.22% with zero credit risk, making it an attractive option.
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