Since 1980 This Is What Happens When A Bull Market Crosses The Third Year (Like Now)
Historical analysis since 1980 shows that U.S. bull markets entering their fourth year often continue for several more years, with strong momentum and earnings supporting further gains. Despite high valuations and geopolitical concerns, the risk-return profile for major American indices remains favorable. Assets tracking the S&P 500 and other key benchmarks have historically delivered strong returns when held past the third year of a bull run. The author maintains a buy rating on U.S. index-tracking assets, citing attractive PEG ratios in U.S. tech versus Europe.
- ▪Since 1980, U.S. bull markets that have lasted beyond three years have typically continued for multiple additional years.
- ▪Investing in U.S. equities at all-time highs has historically led to superior long-term returns.
- ▪U.S. technology companies currently have more attractive PEG ratios compared to their European counterparts.
- ▪The author maintains a buy rating on ETFs such as VOO, SPY, and QQQ, with a S&P 500 target of 7,778.
- ▪Strong corporate earnings and positive market momentum are cited as key drivers supporting continued market gains.
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