Sir John Curtice: Labour may be enjoying a Burnham bounce but it's not massive
And this has now been confirmed by the party's convincing victory in Thursday's Greater Manchester Mayoral by-election.Polls conducted in the last week put Labour on average in the mid 20s. Support for Labour rose by seven points after Gordon Brown replaced Tony Blair in 2007, while the Conservatives enjoyed a six-point bounce when Boris Johnson took over from Theresa May in 2019. True, Labour's 47% share of the first preference vote was well down on the 63% that Andy Burnham secured in the last mayoral contest shortly before the 2024 general election.
- ▪And this has now been confirmed by the party's convincing victory in Thursday's Greater Manchester Mayoral by-election.Polls conducted in the last week put Labour on average in the mid 20s.
- ▪Support for Labour rose by seven points after Gordon Brown replaced Tony Blair in 2007, while the Conservatives enjoyed a six-point bounce when Boris Johnson took over from Theresa May in 2019.
- ▪True, Labour's 47% share of the first preference vote was well down on the 63% that Andy Burnham secured in the last mayoral contest shortly before the 2024 general election.
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| Publication time | Sat, 01 Aug 2026 09:13:00 GMT |
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Sir John Curtice: Labour may be enjoying a Burnham bounce but it's not massivePublished7 minutes agoBySir John CurticeProfessor of politics at the University of StrathclydeThe consistent message of the opinion polls since the new prime minister walked into Downing Street almost a fortnight ago is that Labour is enjoying a "Burnham bounce". And this has now been confirmed by the party's convincing victory in Thursday's Greater Manchester Mayoral by-election.Polls conducted in the last week put Labour on average in the mid 20s.
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