The AI Experts Who Couldn't Predict AI
The AI Experts Who Couldn’t Predict AI The article, “A Taxonomy of Omnicidal Futures Involving Artificial Intelligence,” went viral. It was co-authored by Jacob Tsimerman, who, as the media has made abundantly clear, is the 2026 Fields Medal recipient–as if that somehow adds credibility to the article or grants him immunity from criticism. Despite being published on arXiv, which has a focus on more technical content, it basically reads like a LessWrong post, and I’m not sure how it got past the moderators.
- ▪The AI Experts Who Couldn’t Predict AI The article, “A Taxonomy of Omnicidal Futures Involving Artificial Intelligence,” went viral.
- ▪It was co-authored by Jacob Tsimerman, who, as the media has made abundantly clear, is the 2026 Fields Medal recipient–as if that somehow adds credibility to the article or grants him immunity from criticism.
- ▪Despite being published on arXiv, which has a focus on more technical content, it basically reads like a LessWrong post, and I’m not sure how it got past the moderators.
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Story provenance
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Record
| Original publisher | Greyenlightenment |
| Canonical URL | https://greyenlightenment.com/2026/07/26/the-ai-experts-who-couldnt-predict-ai/ |
| Publication time | Fri, 07 Aug 2026 20:29:42 +0000 |
| Retrieval time | 2026-08-07T20:30:44.106Z |
| Last seen | 2026-08-07T20:30:44.106Z |
| Headline source | Publisher (no WeSearch rewrite) |
| Excerpt source | publisher body |
| Excerpt method | First ~120 words (~800 chars) of extracted publisher body, fair-use limited. |
| Summary | WeSearch · cerebras-chat (WeSearch summarizer) |
| Summary source text | contentText |
| Citation coverage | Summary is a WeSearch-generated derivative; primary citation is the original publisher URL. |
| Cluster | 4Z7_3u0EW1YG · 1 stories |
| Cluster logic | Grouped by semantic title/content similarity across sources within a rolling window. Same-publisher template collisions are excluded from coverage comparison. |
| Ranking reason | Story pages are not engagement-ranked. Hub feeds use recency, with optional source-diversified chronological ordering (cap consecutive stories per source). No personalized ranking. |
| Publisher visit | Yes — open original |
| Substitutes article? | No — link-out required for full text |
Rights status (four layers)
WeSearch handling by dimension
| Indexing | May the item be indexed (stored, ranked, made findable)? | Allowed |
| Snippet | May a short excerpt of the publisher's text be shown? | Allowed |
| AI summary | May WeSearch generate its own short summary of the article? | Limited |
| Retrieval / RAG | May the content be exposed for third-party retrieval-augmented generation? | Not asserted |
| Model training | May the content be used to train AI models? | Not asserted |
| Commercial reuse | May the content be reused commercially? | Not permitted |
Basis: Derived from the published RSS/Atom feed. Contact: [email protected]. Reviewed: 2026-07-24.
Opening excerpt (first ~120 words) tap to expand
The AI Experts Who Couldn’t Predict AI The article, “A Taxonomy of Omnicidal Futures Involving Artificial Intelligence,” went viral. It was co-authored by Jacob Tsimerman, who, as the media has made abundantly clear, is the 2026 Fields Medal recipient–as if that somehow adds credibility to the article or grants him immunity from criticism. Despite being published on arXiv, which has a focus on more technical content, it basically reads like a LessWrong post, and I’m not sure how it got past the moderators. It shows that name recognition can allow people to play by a different set of rules. Moreover, the fact that one of the authors has a Fields Medal is irrelevant if the arguments are unconvincing.
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Excerpt limited to ~120 words for fair-use compliance. The full article is at Greyenlightenment.
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