The Gentle Singularity; the Fast Takeoff
Sam Altman's blog post, 'The Gentle Singularity', suggests that AI has reached a critical point of rapid advancement. OpenAI's development of Codex and its focus on automated AI research are central to this narrative. The company aims to achieve a fully automated AI researcher by March 2028, with significant milestones along the way.
- ▪Sam Altman published a blog post on June 10, 2025, claiming that AI has started its takeoff.
- ▪OpenAI released its coding tool, Codex, on May 16, 2025, marking the beginning of its path towards full automation in AI research.
- ▪OpenAI plans to develop an automated AI research 'intern' by September 2026 and a fully automated AI researcher by March 2028.
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The Gentle Singularity; The Fast TakeoffprinzJan 10, 20263193ShareOn June 10, 2025, Sam Altman published a blog post entitled “The Gentle Singularity”, in which he wrote that “[w]e are past the event horizon; the takeoff has started”.This blog post gathered some attention, and its ideas have since been mindlessly copied by others. Mark Zuckerberg claimed a few days later that “[o]ver the last few months we have begun to see glimpses of our AI systems improving themselves”.1 More recently, Elon Musk, too, said that we have entered the singularity.It has typically been assumed that these claims have been principally driven by the generally fast rate of improvement in AI models (i.e., “AI is improving fast today; AI will improve even faster tomorrow”).
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