The Global Population Could Crash by 2064, New Model Suggests
A new study suggests that the global population could decline significantly by 2064 if a major catastrophe occurs. The research indicates that if Earth's carrying capacity dropped to around 2 billion, the population could halve from approximately 8 billion to 4 billion. The findings are not predictions but rather scenarios illustrating the sensitivity of population dynamics to environmental changes.
- ▪The study published in the journal Chaos, Solitons & Fractals suggests a potential population decline of 50% by 2064 under a catastrophic scenario.
- ▪The authors used a mathematical model to analyze global population growth over the past 12,000 years.
- ▪The model indicates that while current trends are stable, a major environmental crisis could lead to rapid population decline.
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As the global population rises, climate change, disease, war, resource strain, and other crises threaten to drastically reduce Earth’s carrying capacity for humanity—the maximum number of people that can sustainably live on our planet. A new study suggests that if a global catastrophe struck today, we could see a rapid population decline over the next several decades.cnx.cmd.push(function(){cnx({"playerId":"92b7b46b-43ed-4e0e-b21b-2c999302d9d7","settings":{"advertising":{"macros":{"AD_UNIT":"/23178111854/od.gizmodo.com/article","CHILD_UNIT":"article","POST_ID":"2000763453","POST_TYPE":"post","CHANNEL":"science","SECTION":"biology","SUBSECTION":"","CATEGORIES":"biology","TAGS":"disasters,mathematics,population","NOP":"0"},"timeBeforeFirstAd":0}}}).render("cnx-player-main")}); The findings,…
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