"The original URL for this prediction will no longer be available in 11 years." (2011)
A prediction was made about the availability of a specific URL. The prediction states that the original URL will no longer be available in eleven years. The conditions for winning the bet are clearly outlined, including the requirement for a specific text to be present on the webpage.
- ▪The prediction is about the URL http://www.longbets.org/601.
- ▪The URL must return an HTML document containing specific text on February 22nd, 2022.
- ▪A 301 redirect to a different URL with the required text would also fulfill the conditions.
Hacker News (Front Page) files mainly under programming. We currently carry 1,287 of its stories. Top-voted stories on Hacker News.
Story provenance
Source · retrieval · rights · ranking — open for full record
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Story provenance
Attribution is not the same as permission. This drawer separates discovery metadata, excerpts, WeSearch-generated summaries, reuse status, and whether the publisher receives the visit. Nothing here claims a legal grant the publisher has not made.
Record
| Original publisher | Hacker News: Front Page |
| Canonical URL | https://longbets.org/601/ |
| Publication time | Sun, 09 Aug 2026 04:30:26 +0000 |
| Retrieval time | 2026-08-09T05:00:47.764Z |
| Last seen | 2026-08-09T05:00:47.764Z |
| Headline source | Publisher (no WeSearch rewrite) |
| Excerpt source | publisher body |
| Excerpt method | First ~120 words (~800 chars) of extracted publisher body, fair-use limited. |
| Summary | WeSearch · cerebras-chat (WeSearch summarizer) |
| Summary source text | contentText |
| Citation coverage | Summary is a WeSearch-generated derivative; primary citation is the original publisher URL. |
| Cluster | iyLcA-qipzkL · 1 stories |
| Cluster logic | Grouped by semantic title/content similarity across sources within a rolling window. Same-publisher template collisions are excluded from coverage comparison. |
| Ranking reason | Story pages are not engagement-ranked. Hub feeds use recency, with optional source-diversified chronological ordering (cap consecutive stories per source). No personalized ranking. |
| Publisher visit | Yes — open original |
| Substitutes article? | No — link-out required for full text |
Rights status (four layers)
WeSearch handling by dimension
| Indexing | May the item be indexed (stored, ranked, made findable)? | Allowed |
| Snippet | May a short excerpt of the publisher's text be shown? | Allowed |
| AI summary | May WeSearch generate its own short summary of the article? | Limited |
| Retrieval / RAG | May the content be exposed for third-party retrieval-augmented generation? | Not asserted |
| Model training | May the content be used to train AI models? | Not asserted |
| Commercial reuse | May the content be reused commercially? | Not permitted |
Basis: Derived from the published RSS/Atom feed. Contact: [email protected]. Reviewed: 2026-07-24.
Opening excerpt (first ~120 words) tap to expand
Detailed Terms On February 22nd, 2022 from 00:01 UTC until 23:59 UTC,entering the characters http://www.longbets.org/601 into the address bar of a web browser or command line tool (like curl)ORusing a web browser to follow a hyperlink that points to http://www.longbets.org/601MUSTreturn an HTML document that still contains the following text: "The original URL for this prediction (www.longbets.org/601) will no longer be available in eleven years." A 301 redirect from www.longbets.org/601 to a different URL containing that text would also fulfill those conditions. If those conditions are met, Matt wins. If those conditions aren't met, Jeremy wins.
Excerpt limited to ~120 words for fair-use compliance. The full article is at Hacker News: Front Page.