The US midterm races that will decide control of Congress – mapped
On 3 November, voters across the US will decide whether to keep the president’s Republican allies in control of Congress, or return Democrats to the majority.Many indicators of voter sentiment suggest the Democrats are favored to take back control of the House of Representatives, and potentially the Senate. But as Trump's approval ratings fell over the course of the year amid discontent with the Iran war and rising gas prices, Cook shifted several races in Democrats' direction, as did other major forecasters. A key example of this is Georgia, which is now rated as a likely win for the Democrats.How the Senate map shifted towards Democrats Start of 2026 rating Current rating LikelyDem.
- ▪On 3 November, voters across the US will decide whether to keep the president’s Republican allies in control of Congress, or return Democrats to the majority.Many indicators of voter sentiment suggest the Democrats are favored to take back
- ▪But as Trump's approval ratings fell over the course of the year amid discontent with the Iran war and rising gas prices, Cook shifted several races in Democrats' direction, as did other major forecasters.
- ▪A key example of this is Georgia, which is now rated as a likely win for the Democrats.How the Senate map shifted towards Democrats Start of 2026 rating Current rating LikelyDem.
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| Canonical URL | https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/ng-interactive/2026/oct/02/midterm-races-control-congress-charts-visuals |
| Publication time | Fri, 02 Oct 2026 11:30:41 GMT |
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Illustration: Alvaro Dominguez and Angelica Alzona/Guardian Design/Getty ImagesView image in fullscreen Illustration: Alvaro Dominguez and Angelica Alzona/Guardian Design/Getty ImagesUS midterm elections 2026The US midterm races that will decide control of Congress – mappedThese graphics explain what the Democrats would need to do to flip the Senate and House of RepresentativesChris Stein, Alex Clark, Andrew Witherspoon and Ashley KirkFri 2 Oct 2026 07.30 EDTLast modified on Fri 2 Oct 2026 07.31 EDTShareA turning point in Donald Trump’s second term will soon arrive.
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