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The Cook Political Report has revised its midterm election forecasts, indicating that the US Senate majority is now within reach for the Democrats. Key changes include downgrading the Kansas Senate race to a toss-up and upgrading New Hampshire and North Carolina races in favor of the Democratic party. Analysts attribute these shifts to President Trump's negative impact on polls due to high fuel prices and the cost of living.
- ▪The Cook Political Report changed its prediction for the Kansas Senate race from Lean Republican to Toss Up.
- ▪New Hampshire was revised to Lean Democrat and North Carolina to Likely Democrat in the latest forecast.
- ▪Editor Jessica Taylor stated that President Trump is a drag on Republican candidates even in deep red states.
- ▪The report estimates Democrats could pick up two to six Senate seats, which is enough to secure a majority.
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| Original publisher | the Guardian |
| Canonical URL | https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/live/2026/oct/06/donald-trump-ads-diesel-baltimore-midterms-media-latest-news-updates |
| Publication time | 2026-10-07T01:58:29.000Z |
| Retrieval time | 2026-10-12T10:49:16.666Z |
| Last seen | 2026-10-12T10:49:16.666Z |
| Headline source | Publisher (no WeSearch rewrite) |
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| Publisher visit | Yes — open original |
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Opening excerpt (first ~120 words) tap to expand
17.06 EDTUS Senate race in Kansas becomes 'toss up' in new forecast that puts control 'squarely in Democrats' sights'The Cook Political Report has revised its predictions for the November midterm elections, saying “A Senate Majority is Squarely in Democrats’ Sights” as it revises three Senate race estimates in Democrats’ favor.Cook amended its prediction for the Kansas Senate race from “Lean Republican” to “Toss Up” – a shocker for a state where no Democrat has won a Senate election since 1932.The elections analysis newsletter also forecasted that New Hamsphire will “Lean Democrat” (from a previous “Toss Up” prediction) and that North Carolina is “Likely Democrat” (from a previous “Lean Democrat”) in Senate races there.“While Republicans continue to have a financial edge in almost every…
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