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Will AI kill us all

Will AI kill us all

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Probably not, but nobody can rule it out, and the people who build AI worry more than they did a few years ago. Every number below is someone's judgment, and the answer changes with who is asked and how the question is worded. In December 2024, AI Impacts asked 1,580 researchers who publish at top AI conferences for the chance of "future AI advances causing human extinction or similarly permanent and severe disempowerment of the human species." The median answer was 10%, up from 5% a year earlier.

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Original publishervirev blog
Canonical URLhttps://virev.ai/blog/will-ai-kill-us-all
Publication timeThu, 08 Oct 2026 06:09:00 +0000
Retrieval time2026-10-08T06:25:45.676Z
Last seen2026-10-08T06:25:45.676Z
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Opening excerpt (first ~120 words) tap to expand

Probably not, but nobody can rule it out, and the people who build AI worry more than they did a few years ago. Nobody can measure this risk. Every number below is someone's judgment, and the answer changes with who is asked and how the question is worded. One survey shows both. In December 2024, AI Impacts asked 1,580 researchers who publish at top AI conferences for the chance of "future AI advances causing human extinction or similarly permanent and severe disempowerment of the human species." The median answer was 10%, up from 5% a year earlier. The same researchers put a median of 5% on the chance that human-level AI turns out "extremely bad (e.g. human extinction)" in the long run, the same answer as in every edition since 2016 (AI Impacts).

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Excerpt limited to ~120 words for fair-use compliance. The full article is at virev blog.

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