2026 Kentucky Derby best bets: Betting guide, picks, long shots for the Run for the Roses
The 2026 Kentucky Derby is shaping up to be a wide-open race with no clear favorite, as multiple horses could emerge as the betting leader by post time. Chief Wallabee is the top pick to win at 8-1 odds due to his versatility and strong performance despite a troubled trip in the Florida Derby. Long shot Golden Tempo at 30-1 offers value as the field's only deep closer, while Danon Bourbon and Potente are recommended for exotic bets.
- ▪No. 12 Chief Wallabee is the best bet to win at 8-1 odds, showing resilience with a third-place finish in the Florida Derby despite a difficult race.
- ▪No. 19 Golden Tempo, at 30-1 odds, is the only deep closer in the field and could benefit from a fast projected pace.
- ▪No. 7 Danon Bourbon is undefeated in three career starts, winning by a combined 18.5 lengths, including a record-breaking performance in the Fukuryu Stakes.
- ▪No. 14 Potente, a $2.4 million horse trained by Bob Baffert, is priced at 20-1 and may offer significant value despite lack of public support.
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Betting 2026 Kentucky Derby best bets: Betting guide, picks, long shots for the Run for the Roses By Michael Leboff Published May 2, 2026, 12:00 p.m. ET The grandstands at Churchill Downs. AP Gambling content 21+. The New York Post may receive an affiliate commission if you sign up through our links. Read our editorial standards for more information. The 2026 Kentucky Derby is projected to be a highly competitive contest, with seemingly half the field getting support. No. 1 Renegade, owned by Mike Repole, was installed as a 4-1 favorite on the morning line, but it seems like a real possibility that one of the trendier horses, perhaps No. 6 Commandment, No. 8 So Happy, No. 9 The Puma, or No. 18 Further Ado, winds up as the chalk by the time the horses are in the gate.
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