Contouring an Iran settlement
The article discusses the complexities of U.S. military action against Iran, arguing that while the attack may have been justified, it lacked strategic foresight and failed to account for predictable retaliation, such as disruptions to shipping in the Strait. Iran's resilience and potential for rebuilding with support from allies like Russia and China underscore the need for a comprehensive settlement rather than a declaration of victory. Such a settlement could involve both public and informal agreements on ceasing hostilities, nuclear limitations, and economic reforms, potentially leveraging economic pressure to prompt policy changes within Iran.
- ▪The U.S. attack on Iran lacked strategic vision and preparation for predictable consequences.
- ▪Iran’s response highlights its determination to preserve itself and maintain regional influence.
- ▪Economic pressure, including blockades and sanctions, may be creating leverage for a potential settlement.
- ▪A possible settlement could include public measures like sanctions relief and informal limits on missile and drone use.
- ▪Iran’s continued nuclear ambitions are questioned given its vast natural gas reserves and lack of need for civilian nuclear energy.
Opening excerpt (first ~120 words) tap to expand
After five decades of conflict, Iran under the late Ayatollah Ali Khamenei constituted a “clear and present danger” to the West. The notion proffered by some that there needed to be an imminent threat to trigger military action only invites future tragedy. With this said, while the administration’s decision to attack Iran appears to be justified, it appears to have lacked strategic vision and failed to adequately prepare for predictable outcomes, including Iran’s efforts to impede traffic through the strait.Iran’s response to the U.S. and Israeli attacks confirms its resourcefulness and unrelenting commitment to self-preservation and regional hegemony.
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Excerpt limited to ~120 words for fair-use compliance. The full article is at Washington Examiner.
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