Five diverse AI agents vs. five clones for 14 nights: a constant tied both
I Ran Five Diverse AI Agents Against Five Clones for 14 Nights. A Number I Made Up Decided the Result.4,130 scored forecasts, pre-registered. A constant tied both.Pawel JozefiakSep 11, 202651ShareThe scoreboard I opened on the morning of 5 September said my thesis had won.
- ▪I Ran Five Diverse AI Agents Against Five Clones for 14 Nights.
- ▪A Number I Made Up Decided the Result.4,130 scored forecasts, pre-registered.
- ▪A constant tied both.Pawel JozefiakSep 11, 202651ShareThe scoreboard I opened on the morning of 5 September said my thesis had won.
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| Original publisher | Hacker News (AI / LLM) |
| Canonical URL | https://thoughts.jock.pl/p/five-lenses-one-brain-agent-diversity-experiment-2026 |
| Publication time | Fri, 11 Sep 2026 13:04:24 +0000 |
| Retrieval time | 2026-09-11T13:17:42.908Z |
| Last seen | 2026-09-11T13:17:42.908Z |
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| Summary source text | contentText |
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| Cluster | 9lAbRYMyYk_0 · 1 stories |
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| Commercial reuse | May the content be reused commercially? | Not permitted |
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I Ran Five Diverse AI Agents Against Five Clones for 14 Nights. A Number I Made Up Decided the Result.4,130 scored forecasts, pre-registered. The lenses really thought differently. A constant tied both.Pawel JozefiakSep 11, 202651ShareThe scoreboard I opened on the morning of 5 September said my thesis had won. Five AI agents with genuinely different lenses had beaten five identical clones on 9 of 14 nights, and their pooled Brier score was 0.0225 against the clones' 0.0275. Lower is better. I had wanted that table since the first night.I did not publish it. The reason is this post.Most of my last few months went into agents that work together: several of them, with different jobs, handing work to each other, with rules about what each one is allowed to see.
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