James Talarico's Chances of Beating GOP in Texas Senate Race—New Poll
A new poll shows Democratic Senate candidate James Talarico leading both Republican Senator John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton in head-to-head matchups ahead of Texas's May 26 Republican runoff. Talarico's strength among moderate and independent voters appears to be driving his advantage, with leads of 3 and 5 percentage points over Cornyn and Paxton, respectively. While recent polling suggests a competitive race, forecasters still classify the Texas Senate race as likely favoring Republicans.
- ▪James Talarico leads John Cornyn by 3 points and Ken Paxton by 5 points in recent polling.
- ▪Talarico holds a significant advantage among moderate voters, leading Cornyn by 43 points and Paxton by 49 points in that group.
- ▪Independent voters support Talarico over Cornyn by 22 points and over Paxton by 25 points.
- ▪The poll surveyed 1,018 likely general election voters from April 17 to 20, with a margin of error of ±3.3 percentage points.
- ▪Texas has not elected a Democratic U.S. Senator since 1992, making a Talarico win a potential break from decades of Republican dominance.
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By Andrew Stanton and Jason LemonShareNewsweek is a Trust Project memberSee more of our trusted coverage when you search.Prefer Newsweek on Googleto see more of our trusted coverage when you search.Democrats' longtime ambition of flipping a statewide race in Texas got a positive sign on Tuesday. New polling data shows the party's Senate nominee, state Representative James Talarico, leading both incumbent Republican Senator John Cornyn and GOP state Attorney General Ken Paxton in head-to-head matchups.Talarico won his Democratic primary in early March, but Cornyn and Paxton are headed to a runoff in the Republican primary on May 26.
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