Marginally mild temperatures, more thunderstorm activity likely in May: IMD
The India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts marginally mild temperatures in May 2026 due to increased thunderstorm activity and more frequent western disturbances. Daytime temperatures are expected to be normal to below normal across most of the country, while night temperatures may remain above normal in many regions. Rainfall is likely to be above normal nationwide, except in parts of east, northeast, and east central India, with a higher chance of heatwave days in specific areas.
- ▪The IMD predicts normal to below-normal daytime temperatures across most of India in May, except in parts of southern peninsular, northeast, and northwest India.
- ▪Night temperatures are expected to be above normal in many regions, though parts of northwest, central, and southern northeast India may see normal to below-normal minimums.
- ▪Rainfall during May is projected to be above normal nationally, with a long period average of 61.4mm, though some areas in east and northeast India may receive below-normal rains.
- ▪There is a 60% probability of El Niño conditions developing between May and July, which typically reduce monsoon rainfall in India.
- ▪Western disturbances have increased since March due to enhanced moisture incursion from the Arabian Sea, contributing to cooler conditions and more storms.
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Marginally mild temperatures, more thunderstorm activity likely in May: IMDA milder May is expected mainly because of a higher likelihood of thunderstorm activity over several parts of the country and an increased frequency of western disturbancesPublished on: May 01, 2026 2:47 PM ISTBy Jayashree NandiShare viaCopy link Temperatures during the day are expected to be normal to below normal over most parts of the country except parts of southern peninsular India, northeast, and northwest India, forecast by the India Meteorological Department (IMD) stated.During April, rainfall over the country was 11% below normal; 7.4% excess over NW India.
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