‘Super El Niño’ could lead to hottest summer ever with NYC baked by scorching temps
A 'super El Niño' could make the summer of 2026 one of the hottest on record, with New York City experiencing more days above 90 degrees than usual. The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration projects a 62% chance of El Niño forming between June and August, with a 25% chance of it being 'very strong.' Scientists warn global temperatures may surpass 2024's record highs, driven by rising Pacific Ocean temperatures and long-term climate trends.
- ▪There is a 62% chance of El Niño developing from June to August 2026 and lasting through the end of the year, according to NOAA's Climate Prediction Center.
- ▪A 'super El Niño' requires Pacific Ocean surface temperatures to be at least 4 degrees above average, and current temperatures are already 2 to 3 degrees above average.
- ▪New York City could see up to 22 days over 90 degrees in summer 2026, compared to 14 such days in 2025 and an average of 18 since 2011.
- ▪Columbia climatologist Dr. James Hansen predicts 2026 will be the warmest year in recorded history, surpassing 2024.
- ▪The last 'super El Niño' occurred in 2015-2016, leading to extreme global temperatures and weather disruptions.
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US News ‘Super El Niño’ could lead to hottest summer ever with Big Apple baked by scorching temps By Shane Galvin Published May 2, 2026, 9:46 a.m. ET This summer could be one of the hottest on record — with a one-in-four chance of a “super El Niño” turbocharging temperatures in New York and around the world. El Niño is a naturally occurring phenomenon in which warming Pacific Ocean surface waters disrupt weather patterns worldwide — driving higher temperatures, more severe storms, and a more active Atlantic hurricane season. There is a 62% chance of El Niño forming from June to August and then lasting through the end of the year, according to a report from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s Climate Prediction Center.
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