The Flat Curve Society
The Flat Curve Society discusses the current state of model intelligence and its potential dangers, with the author believing that we are only a few model generations away from AI being controlled like nuclear weapons. The author predicts that access to superintelligence will be restricted, with only a few having access to it, and that the world will have to learn to live with the models that are currently available. The exponential growth of AI will continue, but it will appear to flatten out due to government restrictions and limited access to superintelligence.
- ▪Model intelligence has become a security problem, with Fable being shut off by the USG due to its potential dangers.
- ▪The AI race will not slow down, and AI will continue to grow exponentially in capability, but access to superintelligence will be restricted.
- ▪The world will have to learn to live with the models that are currently available, as access to more advanced models will be limited.
Opening excerpt (first ~120 words) tap to expand
The Flat Curve SocietySteve Yegge18 min read·2 days ago--15ListenSharePress enter or click to view image in full sizeThe Flat Curve SocietyHi-ho, we’ve reached the moment, in this movie we’re all watching together on X, where model intelligence has become dangerous. Dario predicted years ago that it would happen this year. With Fable being (briefly) shut off by the USG, it’s the first highly visible sign that we’ve crossed into treacherous waters.Which is too bad, really. I was hoping that we’d get a couple more generations of model upgrades, powerful enough to convince all remaining skeptics, before we got to one that was a security problem.
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Excerpt limited to ~120 words for fair-use compliance. The full article is at Hacker News: Front Page.
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