The original URL for this prediction will no longer be available in 11 years (2011)
A prediction was made about the availability of a specific URL. The prediction states that the original URL will no longer be available in eleven years. The conditions for winning the bet are based on the URL's accessibility and content on a specific date.
- ▪The prediction is about the URL http://www.longbets.org/601.
- ▪The URL must return an HTML document containing specific text on February 22nd, 2022.
- ▪A 301 redirect to a different URL with the same text would also fulfill the conditions.
2 outlets in our directory ran this story, first to last over 2 hours. All of the coverage we found sits in one bucket: centre. That one-sidedness is itself worth noticing.
- ▪ "The original URL for this prediction will no longer be available in 11 years." (2011) — Hacker News: Front Page
Hacker News (Front Page) files mainly under programming. We currently carry 1,289 of its stories. Top-voted stories on Hacker News.
Story provenance
Source · retrieval · rights · ranking — open for full record
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Story provenance
Attribution is not the same as permission. This drawer separates discovery metadata, excerpts, WeSearch-generated summaries, reuse status, and whether the publisher receives the visit. Nothing here claims a legal grant the publisher has not made.
Record
| Original publisher | Longbets |
| Canonical URL | http://longbets.org/601/ |
| Publication time | Sun, 09 Aug 2026 04:30:26 +0000 |
| Retrieval time | 2026-08-09T07:05:41.840Z |
| Last seen | 2026-08-09T07:05:41.840Z |
| Headline source | Publisher (no WeSearch rewrite) |
| Excerpt source | publisher body |
| Excerpt method | First ~120 words (~800 chars) of extracted publisher body, fair-use limited. |
| Summary | WeSearch · cerebras-chat (WeSearch summarizer) |
| Summary source text | contentText |
| Citation coverage | Summary is a WeSearch-generated derivative; primary citation is the original publisher URL. |
| Cluster | iyLcA-qipzkL · 2 stories |
| Cluster logic | Grouped by semantic title/content similarity across sources within a rolling window. Same-publisher template collisions are excluded from coverage comparison. |
| Ranking reason | Story pages are not engagement-ranked. Hub feeds use recency, with optional source-diversified chronological ordering (cap consecutive stories per source). No personalized ranking. |
| Publisher visit | Yes — open original |
| Substitutes article? | No — link-out required for full text |
Rights status (four layers)
WeSearch handling by dimension
| Indexing | May the item be indexed (stored, ranked, made findable)? | Allowed |
| Snippet | May a short excerpt of the publisher's text be shown? | Allowed |
| AI summary | May WeSearch generate its own short summary of the article? | Limited |
| Retrieval / RAG | May the content be exposed for third-party retrieval-augmented generation? | Not asserted |
| Model training | May the content be used to train AI models? | Not asserted |
| Commercial reuse | May the content be reused commercially? | Not permitted |
Basis: Derived from the published RSS/Atom feed. Contact: [email protected]. Reviewed: 2026-07-24.
Opening excerpt (first ~120 words) tap to expand
Detailed Terms On February 22nd, 2022 from 00:01 UTC until 23:59 UTC,entering the characters http://www.longbets.org/601 into the address bar of a web browser or command line tool (like curl)ORusing a web browser to follow a hyperlink that points to http://www.longbets.org/601MUSTreturn an HTML document that still contains the following text: "The original URL for this prediction (www.longbets.org/601) will no longer be available in eleven years." A 301 redirect from www.longbets.org/601 to a different URL containing that text would also fulfill those conditions. If those conditions are met, Matt wins. If those conditions aren't met, Jeremy wins.
Excerpt limited to ~120 words for fair-use compliance. The full article is at Longbets.
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