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We Won't Know the Answers to AI's Most Important Questions Until It's Too Late

We Won't Know the Answers to AI's Most Important Questions Until It's Too Late

Geoffrey Irving· ·10 min read · 0 reactions · 0 comments · 5 views
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For almost a decade, it's been my job to think about where AI is heading and what could go wrong, first at OpenAI, then DeepMind, then as Chief Scientist at the UK AI Security Institute (AISI). This experience has made it clear to me that we can't wait for all of our uncertainties to be settled to do something about AI's risks.Recent warnings about the potential destructive power of AI are understating the severity of the situation. I believe there’s about a 50% chance we all die because of the development of smarter-than-human AI systems, and that our actions over the next two to 10 years will determine the outcome.

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TIME · Geoffrey Irving
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Original publisherTIME
Canonical URLhttps://time.com/article/2026/10/03/we-won-t-know-the-answers-to-ai-s-most-important-questions-until-its-too-late/
Publication timeSun, 04 Oct 2026 17:55:10 +0000
Retrieval time2026-10-04T18:04:54.878Z
Last seen2026-10-04T18:04:54.878Z
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Opening excerpt (first ~120 words) tap to expand

For almost a decade, it's been my job to think about where AI is heading and what could go wrong, first at OpenAI, then DeepMind, then as Chief Scientist at the UK AI Security Institute (AISI). This experience has made it clear to me that we can't wait for all of our uncertainties to be settled to do something about AI's risks.Recent warnings about the potential destructive power of AI are understating the severity of the situation. I believe there’s about a 50% chance we all die because of the development of smarter-than-human AI systems, and that our actions over the next two to 10 years will determine the outcome. To be clear, when I say our odds of being killed by superintelligent AI are 50%, I’m not claiming precision.

…

Excerpt limited to ~120 words for fair-use compliance. The full article is at TIME.

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