Will it rain on 2026 Kentucky Derby? See forecast at Churchill Downs
The weather forecast for the 2026 Kentucky Derby at Churchill Downs predicts mostly sunny skies with a high near 61 degrees Fahrenheit. Conditions are expected to remain dry, though a light jacket is recommended due to cool evening temperatures. The forecast was provided by the National Weather Service in Louisville ahead of the event.
- ▪The 2026 Kentucky Derby is scheduled for Saturday, May 2 at Churchill Downs in Louisville, Kentucky.
- ▪The National Weather Service forecasts mostly sunny skies with a high of 61°F for Kentucky Derby day.
- ▪There is no significant chance of rain on Derby day, but temperatures may drop to around 39°F at night.
- ▪The Kentucky Oaks, held on May 1, is also expected to have mostly sunny weather with a high near 64°F.
- ▪A 30% chance of showers and thunderstorms is predicted for early Sunday morning, May 3.
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