Hezbollah drone strikes cause Israeli operational collapse in Lebanon

## Market Snapshot The market for “Netanyahu out by June 30?” is currently priced at 5.5% YES, down from 6% over the past 24 hours. Meanwhile, “Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?” is holding at 9% YES, indicating skepticism about a near-term withdrawal. ## Key Takeaways – The news of heavy tolls from Hezbollah drone attacks suggests increased political pressure on Netanyahu. – Ongoing operational challenges in Lebanon appear consistent with reduced likelihood of Israeli withdrawal by June 30. – Israel’s deteriorating security situation could influence related political markets, such as Netanyahu’s potential resignation.

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