Iran rejects US demands, Supreme Leader approves talks amid internal unity

## Market Snapshot Next US x Iran Diplomatic Meeting market is currently reflecting decreased confidence in a near-term meeting following Iran’s rejection of US demands. The US-Iran Ceasefire market shows a 0.1% YES probability, down from 1% yesterday. ## Key Takeaways – Recent developments suggest a continued hardline stance from Iran, consistent with reduced probability of a quick diplomatic resolution. – The firm rejection of US demands by Iran appears to decrease the likelihood of US concessions on Iranian demands by the end of April. – Supreme Leader’s approval for talks, despite rejection of US terms, suggests internal unity which may impact diplomatic meeting timing.

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