Why Trump Might Come to Regret the Iran War
The U.S.-Israeli war against Iran, now in its third month, is unlikely to result in a decisive victory or transformative resolution, instead resembling past cycles of conflict and temporary accommodation. Despite tactical gains, neither side has achieved strategic success, with Iran weakened but still defiant and the nuclear issue unresolved. The authors argue this conflict will likely be remembered as just another round in a decades-long confrontation, with no lasting deal in sight.
- ▪The U.S.-Israeli war against Iran is entering its third month with no clear resolution in sight.
- ▪Iran has closed the Strait of Hormuz, and the U.S. has imposed a blockade, but neither economic nor military pressure has yielded success.
- ▪Operation Epic Fury weakened Iran but did not achieve strategic victory, and Iran remains unwilling to accept vague or indefinite agreements.
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Analysis Why Trump Might Come to Regret the Iran War He hoped it would be transformational; instead, it’s just one more round in the conflict. By Aaron David Miller, a senior fellow at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, and Daniel C. Kurtzer, a former U.S. ambassador to Egypt and Israel. CAPTION: U.S. President Donald Trump speaks to the press outside the Oval Office at the White House in Washington on April 13. CAPTION: U.S. President Donald Trump speaks to the press outside the Oval Office at the White House in Washington on April 13. Brendan Smialowski/AFP via Getty Images Get audio access with any FP subscription. Subscribe Now ALREADY AN FP SUBSCRIBER? LOGIN May 1, 2026, 9:26 AM Iran War Analysis and news.
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